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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kate Danielson 12.2% 13.1% 14.1% 13.2% 13.0% 11.4% 9.4% 8.1% 4.0% 1.7%
Jack Roman 14.0% 12.4% 13.7% 13.2% 12.8% 11.3% 10.7% 6.7% 4.0% 1.3%
Olin Guck 8.1% 7.9% 8.4% 10.1% 11.3% 11.3% 12.7% 13.7% 10.7% 5.7%
Tyler Lamm 19.3% 18.2% 15.3% 12.8% 11.6% 9.8% 7.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.3%
Bella Shakespeare 17.2% 15.5% 14.8% 13.3% 11.7% 11.2% 8.1% 4.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Devon Owen 13.6% 13.1% 13.0% 13.5% 12.8% 10.8% 10.0% 7.5% 4.8% 1.1%
Sophia Woodbury 5.0% 6.2% 7.7% 8.1% 8.2% 10.8% 11.3% 16.0% 14.3% 12.4%
Shea McGrath 5.2% 6.6% 6.2% 7.7% 7.7% 11.4% 14.7% 13.8% 16.6% 10.0%
Robert Finora 3.0% 3.8% 3.4% 3.6% 5.9% 5.5% 7.1% 12.7% 20.7% 34.4%
William Denker 2.4% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 5.1% 6.3% 9.0% 13.3% 20.1% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.