Race 3B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Braden Solum 14.3% 17.2% 16.5% 12.1% 13.4% 10.7% 7.1% 4.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Cornew 19.1% 17.1% 15.3% 17.9% 11.0% 8.6% 5.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Barch 6.3% 7.4% 7.5% 8.5% 11.4% 12.8% 13.0% 11.7% 11.3% 6.7% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Phillip Morley 9.0% 12.2% 14.2% 10.8% 15.4% 14.2% 10.1% 6.4% 5.1% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McMahon 27.2% 24.2% 17.1% 15.4% 6.9% 4.9% 2.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Natalie Sinn 10.2% 8.1% 10.1% 13.5% 15.2% 11.3% 11.7% 10.9% 4.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Werley 4.1% 4.5% 6.3% 6.9% 6.5% 9.7% 12.2% 13.5% 13.5% 12.1% 8.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Sarah Hughes 2.1% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 4.1% 6.7% 8.3% 12.4% 13.2% 14.7% 13.6% 9.7% 3.3% 0.9%
John Bere 3.0% 1.8% 2.9% 3.0% 4.3% 6.9% 10.2% 10.8% 16.5% 15.9% 14.2% 7.1% 2.9% 0.5%
Paul Kaplan 3.0% 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 7.9% 9.3% 9.8% 13.8% 13.2% 17.0% 9.1% 5.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Jenny Robinson 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 5.2% 8.6% 10.4% 20.2% 22.3% 15.1% 6.7%
Haley Johnson 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 3.7% 6.2% 13.8% 23.5% 45.8%
Andrew Becker 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 0.9% 3.1% 2.5% 4.3% 7.5% 14.7% 22.6% 23.2% 16.7%
Matthew Stephens 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 3.0% 6.4% 8.4% 16.4% 29.6% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.