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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.95+0.92vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.50+0.52vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.88+3.26vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-1.64+1.80vs Predicted
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5Case Western Reserve University-0.89-0.54vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-1.69+0.01vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.26-1.76vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.97-3.40vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Miami University0.9545.6%1st Place
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2.52University of Michigan0.5026.2%1st Place
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6.26Michigan State University-1.881.9%1st Place
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5.8University of Toledo-1.643.4%1st Place
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4.46Case Western Reserve University-0.897.8%1st Place
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6.01Ohio University-1.692.6%1st Place
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5.24Ohio State University-1.264.5%1st Place
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4.6Ohio State University-0.977.3%1st Place
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8.18Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 45.6% | 29.0% | 16.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 26.2% | 31.4% | 20.9% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Maas | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 24.1% | 10.5% |
| Nicholas Silecky | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 6.4% |
| Raaghuv Vazirani | 7.8% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Mo Snyder | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 7.8% |
| Marlie Boiston | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 3.7% |
| Alexandra Avery | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 12.6% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.