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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.51vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.52vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+0.73vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75-1.53vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.63vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51U. S. Naval Academy2.6027.3%1st Place
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2.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5727.8%1st Place
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3.73Old Dominion University1.819.7%1st Place
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2.47Georgetown University2.7526.6%1st Place
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4.37Christopher Newport University0.736.3%1st Place
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5.39Washington College-0.262.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 27.3% | 26.9% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 27.8% | 23.6% | 25.3% | 15.8% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 29.1% | 26.7% | 7.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 26.6% | 27.8% | 24.3% | 15.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 38.5% | 20.9% |
| Matthew Collinson | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 16.6% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.