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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.90vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+3.83vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.24vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+3.43vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.88+1.32vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+3.73vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+2.26vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51+0.17vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-3.33vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98+0.42vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-1.30vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-2.59vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.33-4.39vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-5.39vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-8.13vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.85-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.83Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.43College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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11.73Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.26Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.42Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.7Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.61Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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10.61Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.46University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Mac Mace | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% |
| John Renehan | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% |
| OJ O'Connell | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| William Haeger | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.9% |
| Ian Towill | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.