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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.97+6.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.39+7.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.94vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.42+1.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.57+0.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.59+2.87vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+4.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.18+1.61vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.86-1.79vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.94+1.50vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.61vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13-2.09vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-5.76vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.14-4.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.83-3.92vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-8.32vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.95-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Georgetown University1.977.8%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy1.394.2%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Naval Academy2.2810.8%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University2.4212.3%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Naval Academy2.5712.7%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University1.595.7%1st Place
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11.99St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy1.785.0%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Naval Academy1.184.7%1st Place
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8.21Georgetown University1.867.0%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Naval Academy0.941.9%1st Place
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12.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.1%1st Place
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10.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.132.8%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.796.9%1st Place
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10.86Georgetown University1.143.0%1st Place
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12.08U. S. Naval Academy0.832.4%1st Place
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8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland1.685.5%1st Place
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12.22Old Dominion University0.952.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Petersen | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 12.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Smith | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Lina Carper | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Ava Farley | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.3% |
| Raam Fox | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.