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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.88+6.46vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+7.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.59vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+2.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+5.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.17vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-1.50vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-0.45vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18+1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.05+0.84vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.03+0.11vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.85-0.69vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-2.38vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.64-5.84vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-5.54vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.33-6.29vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.51-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.46Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.7Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.39Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.11Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.16College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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10.46Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.71Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Graham Landy | 13.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| John Renehan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
| Ian Towill | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% |
| Mac Mace | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% |
| Daniel Eichler | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.