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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+2.69vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+0.54vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.50vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73+0.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.53vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Old Dominion University1.8111.6%1st Place
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2.54Georgetown University2.7525.5%1st Place
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2.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5728.3%1st Place
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4.35Christopher Newport University0.736.0%1st Place
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2.47U. S. Naval Academy2.6026.6%1st Place
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5.44Washington College-0.261.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 11.6% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 28.2% | 26.7% | 7.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 25.5% | 26.6% | 24.8% | 15.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 28.3% | 25.4% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 19.2% | 40.1% | 18.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 26.6% | 28.2% | 24.0% | 14.1% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Collinson | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.