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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+8.98vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+5.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+6.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+2.88vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.27+4.51vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.42vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.10+3.37vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.72+3.84vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+0.48vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.55-1.31vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-4.10vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-1.89vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.11-6.94vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.28-4.71vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-4.21vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.32-2.49vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-5.88vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.17Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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6.88Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.37Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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9.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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6.06College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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9.29Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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10.79Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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13.51Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.47Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| William Bailey | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Philip Crain | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jason Michas | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Price | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% |
| Ian Paice | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 25.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.