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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.18+9.90vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+3.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.97+4.49vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.59+5.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.11vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+2.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.57-1.81vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.39+0.64vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.78-1.24vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95+1.20vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-3.68vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13-3.15vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.14-4.02vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.94-3.69vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.83-5.04vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.9U. S. Naval Academy1.183.9%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University2.4211.5%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University1.977.7%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University1.595.2%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Naval Academy2.2810.3%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University1.867.3%1st Place
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5.19U. S. Naval Academy2.5713.2%1st Place
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8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.685.7%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy1.394.5%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy1.786.2%1st Place
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12.2Old Dominion University0.952.2%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.6%1st Place
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12.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.671.8%1st Place
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10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.134.1%1st Place
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10.98Georgetown University1.143.1%1st Place
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12.31U. S. Naval Academy0.942.5%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Naval Academy0.832.5%1st Place
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12.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Enzo Menditto | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Smith | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Tanner Kelly | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.5% |
| Raam Fox | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Robert Ziman | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% |
| Lina Carper | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.