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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+6.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+7.43vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.11+3.30vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.32+9.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.66vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.49vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+5.59vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+1.76vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-2.07vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-2.79vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-4.05vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.27-1.96vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.72-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.95-3.32vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.10-4.64vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.28-6.31vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.97-5.91vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.55-9.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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6.3College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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13.23Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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9.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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12.59Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.76Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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6.93Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.36Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.69Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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11.09Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.16Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Crain | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| William Hutchings | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ian Paice | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 24.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 15.9% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Booker | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% |
| Jason Michas | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Price | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.