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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+2.72vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75-0.52vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73+0.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.52vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Old Dominion University1.8110.5%1st Place
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2.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5727.3%1st Place
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2.48Georgetown University2.7527.9%1st Place
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4.42Christopher Newport University0.735.1%1st Place
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2.48U. S. Naval Academy2.6027.4%1st Place
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5.4Washington College-0.261.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 10.5% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 29.2% | 25.9% | 7.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 27.3% | 26.2% | 23.4% | 16.4% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 27.9% | 25.9% | 24.1% | 15.2% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 17.9% | 39.0% | 21.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 27.4% | 26.5% | 24.3% | 15.0% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Collinson | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 17.1% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.