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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+7.66vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.11+4.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+2.94vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+4.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.47vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+5.60vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.27vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.37+0.19vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-0.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.32+2.54vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-4.21vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.10-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.72-2.38vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-4.10vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.27-6.32vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-7.11vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.95-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.28College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.7Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.9Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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13.54Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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10.9Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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9.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IG Schottlaender | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| William Bailey | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 16.1% |
| William Macdonald | 9.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Ian Paice | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 27.2% |
| Philip Crain | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Jason Michas | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% |
| Christopher Price | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% |
| Michael Booker | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.