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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.62+3.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+2.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.53+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+1.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.14-1.34vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81-2.20vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.73-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.34+0.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-2.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Harvard University1.6211.8%1st Place
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4.44Roger Williams University1.6012.7%1st Place
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4.43Tufts University1.5314.4%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island1.057.6%1st Place
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3.66Brown University2.1418.8%1st Place
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3.8College of Charleston1.8118.5%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College0.737.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont-0.342.4%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.5%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kate Danielson | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
Jack Roman | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
Devon Owen | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Olin Guck | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% |
Tyler Lamm | 18.8% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Bella Shakespeare | 18.5% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Shea McGrath | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 8.1% |
Ocean Smith | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 44.1% |
Sophia Woodbury | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 9.1% |
Robert Finora | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.