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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kate Danielson 11.8% 13.5% 13.2% 12.8% 13.3% 11.7% 10.8% 7.8% 4.2% 0.9%
Jack Roman 12.7% 13.1% 13.4% 13.5% 12.8% 11.9% 11.1% 7.0% 3.5% 1.0%
Devon Owen 14.4% 13.0% 12.2% 12.8% 13.3% 11.5% 9.8% 7.7% 4.4% 0.9%
Olin Guck 7.6% 9.5% 8.9% 8.8% 10.5% 11.8% 14.5% 14.0% 9.7% 4.7%
Tyler Lamm 18.8% 17.8% 17.0% 14.0% 10.4% 10.0% 6.2% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4%
Bella Shakespeare 18.5% 15.8% 15.1% 14.8% 12.2% 9.9% 7.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5%
Shea McGrath 7.0% 6.6% 7.1% 8.9% 9.4% 11.6% 12.6% 13.9% 15.0% 8.1%
Ocean Smith 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 3.4% 3.2% 4.3% 7.1% 9.8% 20.4% 44.1%
Sophia Woodbury 4.5% 5.7% 6.7% 7.8% 9.0% 10.9% 11.6% 18.4% 16.4% 9.1%
Robert Finora 2.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.4% 5.8% 6.5% 8.8% 13.4% 23.0% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.