← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.44vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.75+0.47vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.81+0.71vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.45vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.60vs Predicted
-
6Washington College-0.26-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.44U. S. Naval Academy2.6028.5%1st Place
-
2.47Georgetown University2.7529.6%1st Place
-
3.71Old Dominion University1.8110.1%1st Place
-
2.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5725.4%1st Place
-
4.4Christopher Newport University0.734.9%1st Place
-
5.42Washington College-0.261.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 28.5% | 26.1% | 24.4% | 15.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 29.6% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 16.5% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 27.6% | 25.7% | 8.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 25.4% | 27.3% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 39.0% | 20.7% |
| Matthew Collinson | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 17.4% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.