← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.89+6.24vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.54+10.90vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+4.63vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.55+4.29vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston4.11+1.18vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.92+0.90vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.23+2.73vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.37+1.07vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.97+1.89vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-0.25vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.10-0.52vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.95-0.66vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont3.27-3.51vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-4.57vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University3.95-8.26vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University3.28-6.35vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin2.72-4.97vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.32-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.24Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
12.9Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.29Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
6.18College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
-
6.9Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.73Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
-
9.07Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.89Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
-
10.48Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
-
11.34University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
9.49University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
6.74Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.65Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
-
12.03University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
-
13.27Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 18.4% |
| Philip Crain | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| William Hutchings | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Price | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Jason Michas | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% |
| Michael Booker | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| William Macdonald | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% |
| Ian Paice | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.