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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+4.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78+6.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.10vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.59+4.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.39+4.72vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.82vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+1.01vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+4.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.94+3.42vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13+0.60vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.97-3.73vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.18-1.24vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-2.36vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.14-3.52vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-2.95vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.83-4.23vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-8.60vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Georgetown University2.4213.4%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy1.785.2%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy2.2811.3%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University1.595.4%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy1.394.0%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Naval Academy2.5713.8%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University1.866.7%1st Place
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12.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.1%1st Place
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12.42U. S. Naval Academy0.942.2%1st Place
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10.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.134.0%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University1.978.6%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Naval Academy1.182.8%1st Place
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10.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.163.3%1st Place
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10.48Georgetown University1.143.5%1st Place
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12.05Old Dominion University0.952.8%1st Place
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11.77U. S. Naval Academy0.833.2%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.685.7%1st Place
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12.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 13.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Smith | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Lina Carper | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% |
| Robert Ziman | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.7% |
| Raam Fox | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Henry Haddon | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.