← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.75+1.51vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+0.48vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.53vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.81-0.23vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.60vs Predicted
-
6Washington College-0.26-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.51Georgetown University2.7527.9%1st Place
-
2.48U. S. Naval Academy2.6028.4%1st Place
-
2.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5728.1%1st Place
-
3.77Old Dominion University1.818.5%1st Place
-
4.4Christopher Newport University0.734.9%1st Place
-
5.38Washington College-0.262.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 27.9% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 15.9% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 28.4% | 25.6% | 23.4% | 15.2% | 6.8% | 0.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 28.1% | 26.6% | 23.4% | 15.4% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.5% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 29.2% | 26.1% | 8.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 39.6% | 20.6% |
| Matthew Collinson | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 16.1% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.