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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+4.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+4.18vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.97+4.08vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13+6.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.78+3.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.39+2.57vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.13vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+1.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.94+2.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.83+0.86vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.59-3.07vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-0.95vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.14-3.27vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.86-7.03vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-4.01vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.64vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.18-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Georgetown University2.4211.8%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Naval Academy2.289.2%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University1.978.2%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.133.8%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Naval Academy1.787.2%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.5%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy1.395.7%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.686.8%1st Place
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10.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.162.9%1st Place
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12.42U. S. Naval Academy0.942.1%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Naval Academy0.832.8%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University1.594.7%1st Place
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12.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.6%1st Place
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10.73Georgetown University1.143.2%1st Place
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7.97Georgetown University1.867.0%1st Place
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11.99Old Dominion University0.952.1%1st Place
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12.36St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.5%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Raam Fox | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Jensen | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Henry Haddon | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% |
| Benjamin Smith | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Lina Carper | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.9% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.