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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.75+1.32vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+1.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60-0.78vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60-0.62vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.72vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Georgetown University2.7531.6%1st Place
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3.49Old Dominion University1.8112.0%1st Place
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2.22U. S. Naval Academy2.6035.1%1st Place
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3.38College of Charleston1.6013.0%1st Place
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4.28Christopher Newport University0.735.9%1st Place
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5.31Washington College-0.262.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 31.6% | 28.0% | 23.4% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 12.0% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 24.2% | 20.8% | 7.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 35.1% | 28.9% | 19.7% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Weed | 13.0% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 25.7% | 19.1% | 5.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 36.1% | 18.9% |
| Matthew Collinson | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.