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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+9.02vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+5.04vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+8.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+2.97vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.68vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+0.80vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+2.60vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+4.52vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.37+0.17vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95+1.21vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-1.37vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-4.22vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.27-3.49vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.72-2.39vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.10-4.72vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.11-9.77vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.32-3.42vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.55-9.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.04Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.14Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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12.52Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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10.28Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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6.23College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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13.58Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Price | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| William Macdonald | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.5% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Philip Crain | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Michael Booker | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% |
| Jason Michas | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Paice | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 26.7% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.