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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+4.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.77vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+7.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.57+0.89vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+6.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.78+2.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.32+2.52vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.97-0.78vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-0.85vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.39-0.69vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.59-2.28vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.16vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy-0.69+2.98vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-6.16vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13-4.50vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-4.38vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.45vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.14-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Georgetown University2.4211.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy2.2811.8%1st Place
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10.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.164.0%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Naval Academy2.5716.3%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University0.952.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy1.786.0%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Naval Academy1.323.7%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University1.979.2%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.685.9%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy1.394.6%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University1.594.1%1st Place
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12.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.2%1st Place
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15.98U. S. Naval Academy-0.691.0%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University1.867.0%1st Place
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10.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.133.8%1st Place
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11.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.5%1st Place
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12.55U. S. Naval Academy0.521.8%1st Place
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10.47Georgetown University1.143.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Enzo Menditto | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jack Welburn | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Henry Haddon | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
Henry Allgeier | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
Tanner Kelly | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Spencer Dominguez | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
Jeffrey Petersen | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Nathan Jensen | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Teddy Martin | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
Benjamin Smith | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 7.6% |
Josephine Sherry | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 58.2% |
Kelly Bates | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Raam Fox | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
Lina Carper | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 10.0% |
Xavier Stoldt | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.