← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.37+8.39vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.92+5.06vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+6.74vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+3.39vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.27+4.57vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.10+4.40vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.23+2.76vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.97+2.81vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.89-2.11vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston4.11-3.59vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University3.28-1.24vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.95-4.83vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin2.72-1.30vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College3.55-5.85vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-5.30vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.32-2.46vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University2.54-4.21vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.95-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.39Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.06Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
-
7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.57University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
-
10.4Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
-
9.76Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.81Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
6.89Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
6.41College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
-
9.76Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
7.17Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.7University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.15Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
-
13.54Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
-
12.79Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
10.79University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Philip Crain | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Michael Booker | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Jason Michas | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Price | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Ian Paice | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 25.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 18.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.