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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.28vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+1.47vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75-0.70vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73+0.24vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60-1.65vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28U. S. Naval Academy2.6033.1%1st Place
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3.47Old Dominion University1.8112.7%1st Place
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2.3Georgetown University2.7532.1%1st Place
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4.24Christopher Newport University0.736.5%1st Place
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3.35College of Charleston1.6013.4%1st Place
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5.37Washington College-0.262.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 33.1% | 28.4% | 21.1% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 12.7% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 26.5% | 21.0% | 6.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 32.1% | 29.7% | 20.6% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 34.9% | 19.4% |
| Jonathan Weed | 13.4% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 5.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 16.2% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.