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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+4.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.32+7.72vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.97+4.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.78+3.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.57-1.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52+5.60vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+3.71vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.12vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-1.84vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-0.77vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.95-0.31vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.14-2.60vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.39-4.61vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.59-6.34vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13-5.43vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.86-9.19vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy-0.69-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Georgetown University2.4213.4%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy1.324.6%1st Place
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7.15Georgetown University1.977.8%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Naval Academy2.2810.4%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy1.785.3%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.3%1st Place
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12.6U. S. Naval Academy0.521.8%1st Place
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11.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.3%1st Place
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12.12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.5%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.686.4%1st Place
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10.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.163.2%1st Place
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11.69Old Dominion University0.953.0%1st Place
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10.4Georgetown University1.143.9%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Naval Academy1.394.3%1st Place
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8.66Georgetown University1.595.4%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.133.2%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University1.866.3%1st Place
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16.03U. S. Naval Academy-0.690.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 10.7% |
| Lina Carper | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 7.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Haddon | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Smith | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Raam Fox | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Josephine Sherry | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.