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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.28vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+1.54vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75-0.72vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60-0.65vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.74vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28U. S. Naval Academy2.6033.1%1st Place
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3.54Old Dominion University1.8111.2%1st Place
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2.28Georgetown University2.7532.4%1st Place
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3.35College of Charleston1.6014.1%1st Place
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4.26Christopher Newport University0.736.9%1st Place
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5.29Washington College-0.262.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 33.1% | 28.8% | 20.3% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 11.2% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 25.1% | 22.4% | 7.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 32.4% | 30.2% | 21.1% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Weed | 14.1% | 15.3% | 21.5% | 25.7% | 17.8% | 5.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 34.4% | 20.2% |
| Matthew Collinson | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 16.9% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.