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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+4.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+7.42vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.97+3.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.32+4.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.99vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+0.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52+4.41vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.14+1.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.39-0.51vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-2.82vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.14vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13-2.51vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-2.36vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-3.25vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.78-7.77vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy-0.69-0.94vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.59-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Georgetown University2.4213.6%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Naval Academy2.2810.8%1st Place
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10.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.163.5%1st Place
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7.33Georgetown University1.978.2%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Naval Academy1.324.8%1st Place
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5.01U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.5%1st Place
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7.69Georgetown University1.867.0%1st Place
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12.41U. S. Naval Academy0.522.0%1st Place
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10.44Georgetown University1.143.5%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy1.394.5%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.686.0%1st Place
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12.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.1%1st Place
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10.49St. Mary's College of Maryland1.133.0%1st Place
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11.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.4%1st Place
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11.75Old Dominion University0.952.5%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Naval Academy1.786.1%1st Place
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16.06U. S. Naval Academy-0.690.7%1st Place
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8.8Georgetown University1.594.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 9.3% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Jensen | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 7.8% |
| Raam Fox | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Lina Carper | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 5.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Josephine Sherry | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 57.4% |
| Benjamin Smith | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.