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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.21+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.32+4.09vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.37+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.91-1.18vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.29+3.84vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago0.60+2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota1.77-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.81-0.51vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.65+1.92vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.88-5.14vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.35-4.28vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-1.17-3.09vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame-0.01-6.53vs Predicted
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17University of Illinois-1.92-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Minnesota2.210.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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3.81Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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2.82University of Wisconsin2.910.3%1st Place
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8.84Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Minnesota1.770.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
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10.92Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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8.72Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.91Northern Michigan University-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Illinois-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Solum | 14.7% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 17.6% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McMahon | 28.7% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Paul Kaplan | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Sinn | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 21.9% | 10.3% |
| Phillip Morley | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Bere | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Becker | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 17.7% | 30.2% | 24.6% |
| Kevin Condit | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 3.7% |
| Haley Johnson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 20.2% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.