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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.75+1.27vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.60+1.39vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+1.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.73vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.81-1.50vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Georgetown University2.7534.4%1st Place
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3.39College of Charleston1.6013.3%1st Place
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4.24Christopher Newport University0.736.0%1st Place
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2.27U. S. Naval Academy2.6032.2%1st Place
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3.5Old Dominion University1.8111.7%1st Place
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5.33Washington College-0.262.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 34.4% | 26.8% | 22.1% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Weed | 13.3% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 25.6% | 19.6% | 5.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 35.0% | 18.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 32.2% | 30.2% | 20.4% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 11.7% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 24.5% | 22.4% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Collinson | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 15.1% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.