← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.89+6.19vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+8.04vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.95+8.24vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.10+6.27vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.28+4.50vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.37+3.20vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.55+1.42vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.32+5.25vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.23+0.80vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.92-2.87vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.97+0.06vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston4.11-5.49vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.95-6.31vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont3.27-4.72vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-7.68vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-6.42vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin2.72-4.92vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University2.54-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.19Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
-
11.24University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
10.27Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
-
9.5Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
9.2Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.42Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
13.25Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
-
9.8Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
-
7.13Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
11.06Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
6.51College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
-
6.69Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.28University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
-
7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
-
12.08University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
-
12.46Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| Jason Michas | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| William Hutchings | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Ian Paice | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 24.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| William Bailey | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Price | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% |
| Philip Crain | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.