← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.42+4.47vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.93vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.01vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.59+4.53vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University1.97+2.17vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+4.36vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.29vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.35vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.08vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+1.40vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy1.39-1.61vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13-1.62vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University1.14-2.47vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University0.95-2.22vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University1.86-7.15vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy1.32-6.10vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.62vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy-0.69-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.47Georgetown University2.4214.0%1st Place
-
5.93U. S. Naval Academy2.2810.7%1st Place
-
5.01U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.4%1st Place
-
8.53Georgetown University1.596.6%1st Place
-
7.17Georgetown University1.977.3%1st Place
-
10.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.162.9%1st Place
-
8.29U. S. Naval Academy1.785.5%1st Place
-
8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland1.685.7%1st Place
-
12.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.4%1st Place
-
11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.2%1st Place
-
9.39U. S. Naval Academy1.393.9%1st Place
-
10.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.133.8%1st Place
-
10.53Georgetown University1.143.0%1st Place
-
11.78Old Dominion University0.952.6%1st Place
-
7.85Georgetown University1.866.9%1st Place
-
9.9U. S. Naval Academy1.324.0%1st Place
-
12.38U. S. Naval Academy0.521.9%1st Place
-
16.2U. S. Naval Academy-0.690.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 14.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.4% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Haddon | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 6.6% |
| Lina Carper | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Teddy Martin | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Raam Fox | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 8.6% |
| Josephine Sherry | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.