← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.55+7.61vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.37+7.40vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.95+3.97vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.32+9.19vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+2.38vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.50vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.10+3.36vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.23+1.74vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.92-2.15vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin2.72+1.03vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.89-4.62vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.97-2.21vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.95-3.35vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University2.54-2.40vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont3.27-6.28vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston4.11-10.69vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University3.28-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.61Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
9.4Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
6.97Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
13.19Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
-
7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
-
10.36Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
-
9.74Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
-
6.85Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
12.03University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.38Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
10.79Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
10.65University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
12.6Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
9.72University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
-
6.31College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
-
9.42Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IG Schottlaender | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| William Hutchings | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ian Paice | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 23.9% |
| Philip Crain | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Jason Michas | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| William Bailey | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Price | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.8% |
| Michael Booker | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 12.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.