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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+2.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+0.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75-0.67vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60-0.63vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.81vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Old Dominion University1.8113.2%1st Place
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2.25U. S. Naval Academy2.6034.0%1st Place
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2.33Georgetown University2.7531.9%1st Place
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3.37College of Charleston1.6012.4%1st Place
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4.19Christopher Newport University0.736.8%1st Place
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5.39Washington College-0.261.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 13.2% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 24.7% | 20.8% | 7.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 34.0% | 28.2% | 22.1% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 31.9% | 28.6% | 20.8% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Weed | 12.4% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 25.3% | 18.8% | 5.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 34.9% | 17.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.