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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+8.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.39+6.10vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.42+1.24vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+3.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.94vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13+3.17vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.71vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.97-2.12vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.14-0.03vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.59-2.73vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.95-0.58vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.86-5.56vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-2.86vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.28-9.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy-0.69-1.17vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy-0.48-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.163.5%1st Place
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4.91U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.2%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy1.394.5%1st Place
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5.24Georgetown University2.4212.8%1st Place
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8.08St. Mary's College of Maryland1.685.7%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy1.787.2%1st Place
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10.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.133.9%1st Place
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11.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.4%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University1.978.9%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University1.143.6%1st Place
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8.27Georgetown University1.596.0%1st Place
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11.42Old Dominion University0.952.4%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University1.866.9%1st Place
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11.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.5%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Naval Academy2.2811.9%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Naval Academy0.522.2%1st Place
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15.83U. S. Naval Academy-0.690.5%1st Place
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15.35U. S. Naval Academy-0.480.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Haddon | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Martin | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Enzo Menditto | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Raam Fox | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 4.3% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 11.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Josephine Sherry | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 21.5% | 44.6% |
| Darby Dryden | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 23.8% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.