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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+2.45vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+0.30vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+1.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.69vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60-1.63vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.26-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Old Dominion University1.8113.4%1st Place
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2.3Georgetown University2.7532.1%1st Place
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4.24Christopher Newport University0.735.6%1st Place
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2.31U. S. Naval Academy2.6033.0%1st Place
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3.37College of Charleston1.6014.0%1st Place
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5.33Washington College-0.261.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 13.4% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 24.6% | 21.3% | 6.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 32.1% | 29.5% | 20.5% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 34.1% | 18.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 33.0% | 28.1% | 20.0% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Weed | 14.0% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 22.7% | 19.7% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Collinson | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.