← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University0.70+1.14vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.27+0.56vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+0.94vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-1.26+0.98vs Predicted
-
5Washington College-0.55-1.06vs Predicted
-
6Rutgers University-1.39-0.82vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University-1.63-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14George Washington University0.7038.6%1st Place
-
2.56Princeton University0.2726.4%1st Place
-
3.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.6110.9%1st Place
-
4.98University of Delaware-1.264.9%1st Place
-
3.94Washington College-0.5510.3%1st Place
-
5.18Rutgers University-1.394.0%1st Place
-
5.26Monmouth University-1.634.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tryg van Wyk | 38.6% | 29.0% | 18.1% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 26.4% | 28.1% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 10.9% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 6.6% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 23.4% | 23.8% |
| Austin Latimer | 10.3% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 6.9% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 23.6% | 28.2% |
| Sarah Ward | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.