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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.25+5.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+5.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+7.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+6.54vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+7.90vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.87+4.45vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.15+2.24vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-2.38vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-2.47vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.84+0.73vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-1.20vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.39vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-6.57vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-4.31vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.55-3.18vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.10-10.43vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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10.54Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.9Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.53Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.73Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.8Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.57Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ramming | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Drew Shea | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% |
| John Silvestri | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 21.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Schalka | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| David Larson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 17.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.