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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.39vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.25+4.07vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.87+7.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05+5.73vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.55+6.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21+2.99vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04+2.73vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-1.81vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-3.33vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+0.23vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45+1.36vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.15-2.85vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-3.97vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.24vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.84-4.32vs Predicted
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17Boston College4.01-10.05vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.79-10.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.07College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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10.73Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.19Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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13.36Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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10.03Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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11.68Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.95Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Michael Ramming | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% |
| Drew Shea | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| John Silvestri | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 22.6% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| David Larson | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Michael Schalka | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.