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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+2.95vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.70+0.10vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.27-0.40vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.55-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.26-0.04vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.39-0.84vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-1.63-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.6110.1%1st Place
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2.1George Washington University0.7040.3%1st Place
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2.6Princeton University0.2726.1%1st Place
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3.86Washington College-0.5510.4%1st Place
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4.96University of Delaware-1.265.5%1st Place
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5.16Rutgers University-1.394.2%1st Place
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5.37Monmouth University-1.633.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Gilroy | 10.1% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 6.2% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 40.3% | 29.2% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 26.1% | 26.8% | 22.7% | 13.9% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Austin Latimer | 10.4% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 23.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 28.8% |
| Sarah Ward | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 22.3% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.