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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+1.53vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.70+0.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.26+0.97vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-1.63+0.35vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.55-2.17vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.39-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Princeton University0.2728.9%1st Place
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2.15George Washington University0.7038.6%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.619.8%1st Place
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4.97University of Delaware-1.264.2%1st Place
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5.35Monmouth University-1.633.2%1st Place
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3.83Washington College-0.5510.6%1st Place
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5.2Rutgers University-1.394.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 28.9% | 26.9% | 21.3% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 38.6% | 28.7% | 18.6% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 9.8% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 23.5% | 22.8% |
| Sarah Ward | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 22.6% | 34.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 10.6% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 5.2% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.