← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+9.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.87+9.66vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.15+7.52vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.79+3.58vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+2.15vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.83+1.46vs Predicted
-
7Boston College4.01-0.27vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.88-0.77vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.84+2.50vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.21+0.28vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.55+1.78vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.86vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin3.04-2.42vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston4.25-8.31vs Predicted
-
15Yale University4.10-8.64vs Predicted
-
16Boston University3.13-5.60vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-5.79vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University2.45-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.92Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
11.66University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
-
10.52Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
-
7.58Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
7.46Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
6.73Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.23Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
11.5Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
-
10.28Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
12.78University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
-
10.58University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
5.69College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
-
6.36Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
10.4Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
-
11.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
-
12.85Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Ryan Hughes | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Schalka | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 19.0% |
| David Larson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% |
| Michael Ramming | 11.7% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| John Silvestri | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.