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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.55+11.84vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+5.31vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.84+8.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+5.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+1.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05+4.69vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-0.25vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+2.88vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+1.79vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45+3.34vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.87+0.58vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.25-5.77vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-5.81vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-6.62vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.83-7.61vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.13-5.54vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-7.08vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.15-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.84University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.77Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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6.42Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.69Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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13.34Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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6.23College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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7.19Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.46Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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10.18Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Pelissier | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 19.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Michael Schalka | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Drew Shea | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
| John Silvestri | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 21.9% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
| Michael Ramming | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| David Larson | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.