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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+3.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.70+0.05vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.27-0.43vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.55-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.26-0.02vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-1.63-0.69vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.39-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.619.2%1st Place
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2.05George Washington University0.7040.9%1st Place
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2.57Princeton University0.2726.1%1st Place
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3.84Washington College-0.5510.9%1st Place
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4.98University of Delaware-1.265.0%1st Place
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5.31Monmouth University-1.633.9%1st Place
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5.25Rutgers University-1.394.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Gilroy | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 40.9% | 29.7% | 17.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 26.1% | 27.5% | 22.9% | 13.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 10.9% | 13.4% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 5.7% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 22.8% | 23.2% |
| Sarah Ward | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 22.4% | 32.8% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 24.2% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.