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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.81+6.45vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.91+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.21+1.10vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.37-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.88-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago0.60+2.13vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.29+1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.32-2.84vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.77-5.82vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-0.65-1.03vs Predicted
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14Northern Michigan University-1.17-2.05vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.35-6.28vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame-0.01-6.57vs Predicted
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17University of Illinois-1.92-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
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2.7University of Wisconsin2.910.3%1st Place
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4.1University of Minnesota2.210.1%1st Place
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3.82Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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4.93University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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8.59Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Minnesota1.770.1%1st Place
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10.97Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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11.95Northern Michigan University-1.170.0%1st Place
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8.72Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Illinois-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Werley | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jeremy McMahon | 32.6% | 21.3% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Solum | 14.4% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 16.1% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Paul Kaplan | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hughes | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Barch | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 24.0% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Becker | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 30.8% | 26.2% |
| John Bere | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Condit | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 2.3% |
| Haley Johnson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 18.5% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.