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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+2.63vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.62+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05+2.68vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81-0.06vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.60-0.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.53-1.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-0.61vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.73-1.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.34-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Brown University2.1419.1%1st Place
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4.42Harvard University1.6214.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island1.057.5%1st Place
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3.94College of Charleston1.8114.8%1st Place
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4.37Roger Williams University1.6013.5%1st Place
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4.37Tufts University1.5314.2%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.1%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College0.736.6%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.133.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont-0.342.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Tyler Lamm | 19.1% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Kate Danielson | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
Olin Guck | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
Bella Shakespeare | 14.8% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
Jack Roman | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Devon Owen | 14.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Sophia Woodbury | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 9.2% |
Shea McGrath | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 5.9% |
Robert Finora | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 24.3% | 29.3% |
Ocean Smith | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 19.4% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.