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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.25+4.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+8.08vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+7.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.87+7.10vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+1.19vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+3.54vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+2.70vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96+1.84vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-4.00vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-1.52vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-0.31vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.01-7.68vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.05-4.58vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.55-3.35vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.84-5.52vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.83-10.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.32Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.42Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.48Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ramming | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| David Larson | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 18.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Drew Shea | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 18.4% |
| Michael Schalka | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.