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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+1.62vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.70+0.12vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.55+0.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-0.03vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-1.63+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.26-1.01vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.39-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Princeton University0.2726.6%1st Place
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2.12George Washington University0.7039.4%1st Place
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3.82Washington College-0.5510.1%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.6110.8%1st Place
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5.3Monmouth University-1.633.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Delaware-1.265.3%1st Place
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5.18Rutgers University-1.394.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 26.6% | 26.7% | 21.1% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 39.4% | 29.2% | 17.5% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 10.1% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 10.8% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 7.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 3.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 33.9% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 21.9% | 25.4% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 25.7% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.