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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+9.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+8.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+7.33vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+3.36vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+2.17vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.89vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.25-1.31vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.01-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.87+2.20vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-3.58vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.04-0.30vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-0.78vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-3.03vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.75vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.55-2.50vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.96-5.12vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.84-5.48vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.71Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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5.69College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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6.42Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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9.97Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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10.88Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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11.52Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.67Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Ramming | 11.6% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| David Larson | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 16.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Michael Schalka | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.