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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+5.60vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.55+10.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+3.82vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+3.33vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.61vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.25-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+3.67vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.87+3.24vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-1.51vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96+1.28vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.21-0.92vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-0.68vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-5.23vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.17vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.84-3.57vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.05-5.27vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.15-6.70vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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12.92University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.82Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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5.77College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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11.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.43Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.73Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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12.81Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 17.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| David Larson | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Michael Ramming | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Schalka | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| Drew Shea | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.