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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.70+1.10vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.27+0.58vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.55+0.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.610.00vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-1.63+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.26-1.05vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.39-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1George Washington University0.7039.8%1st Place
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2.58Princeton University0.2726.4%1st Place
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3.88Washington College-0.5510.9%1st Place
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4.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.6110.3%1st Place
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5.31Monmouth University-1.634.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Delaware-1.264.4%1st Place
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5.19Rutgers University-1.394.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tryg van Wyk | 39.8% | 29.3% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jasper Waldman | 26.4% | 27.2% | 22.4% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 6.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 10.3% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 7.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 34.1% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 22.7% | 22.9% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.