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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.25+5.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+8.23vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+3.80vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+2.26vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.96+5.87vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+5.03vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.71vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-0.96vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.87+1.59vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-3.46vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-0.98vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-2.49vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-6.37vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.06vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.84-4.41vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.55-4.22vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.15-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.02Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.94Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.59Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ramming | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% |
| David Larson | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Drew Shea | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| John Silvestri | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 19.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 18.6% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.