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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+2.98vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.70+0.13vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.27-0.40vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.55-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.26-0.08vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-1.63-0.76vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.39-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.6110.2%1st Place
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2.13George Washington University0.7039.5%1st Place
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2.6Princeton University0.2725.5%1st Place
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3.94Washington College-0.559.7%1st Place
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4.92University of Delaware-1.265.9%1st Place
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5.24Monmouth University-1.634.8%1st Place
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5.19Rutgers University-1.394.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Gilroy | 10.2% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 7.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 39.5% | 27.7% | 18.7% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 25.5% | 27.2% | 23.8% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Austin Latimer | 9.7% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 7.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 22.8% |
| Sarah Ward | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 22.4% | 31.8% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 22.8% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.