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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.44+2.31vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.03+0.78vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.28+0.23vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.57-0.45vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.50-0.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.95-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.26-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Monmouth University-0.4419.6%1st Place
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2.78George Washington University0.0327.1%1st Place
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3.23Washington College-0.2818.9%1st Place
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3.55Princeton University-0.5714.6%1st Place
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4.95Rutgers University-1.506.5%1st Place
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4.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.9510.5%1st Place
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5.95University of Delaware-2.262.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 19.6% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Eva Wieting | 27.1% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Tis | 18.9% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| William Roberts | 14.6% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 4.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 27.6% | 22.4% |
| Fordham Smith | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 10.4% |
| Elise Singletary | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 18.4% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.