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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.44+2.36vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.57+1.71vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.03-0.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.95+0.36vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.28-1.70vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.50-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.67-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Monmouth University-0.4418.4%1st Place
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3.71Princeton University-0.5714.1%1st Place
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2.81George Washington University0.0326.5%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.959.2%1st Place
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3.3Washington College-0.2820.2%1st Place
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5.15Rutgers University-1.505.9%1st Place
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5.31University of Delaware-1.675.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 18.4% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| William Roberts | 14.1% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 6.8% |
| Eva Wieting | 26.5% | 23.2% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Fordham Smith | 9.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 14.3% |
| Patrick Tis | 20.2% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 32.9% |
| Laura MacMillan | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 22.0% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.