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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.50vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+9.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+4.02vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.80vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+2.61vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+3.88vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.25-2.07vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.21+1.12vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-1.60vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.15-0.46vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.55+1.21vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.87-1.61vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.10-7.69vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-7.65vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.05-5.07vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.84-5.18vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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7.02Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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5.93College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.54Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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6.31Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.93Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.82Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Brendan O'Leary | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| Michael Ramming | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 22.7% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Drew Shea | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.