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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.28+2.09vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.44+1.30vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.57+0.40vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.03-1.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.95-0.87vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.97-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.26-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Washington College-0.2820.2%1st Place
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3.3Monmouth University-0.4418.8%1st Place
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3.4Princeton University-0.5716.6%1st Place
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2.66George Washington University0.0327.3%1st Place
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4.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.9510.7%1st Place
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5.55Rutgers University-1.973.6%1st Place
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5.87University of Delaware-2.262.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tis | 20.2% | 19.7% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Cashin | 18.8% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 1.8% |
| William Roberts | 16.6% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Eva Wieting | 27.3% | 24.8% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Fordham Smith | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 7.8% |
| Ralph Molinari | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 30.8% | 35.7% |
| Elise Singletary | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 23.0% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.