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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.46vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+4.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+1.57vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.35+4.17vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+2.00vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.37-1.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.00-1.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-3.06vs Predicted
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10Amherst College1.69+1.27vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-3.40vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University2.71-4.82vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.71-2.88vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.55-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.99Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.57Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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5.26Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.94Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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11.27Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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9.34Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.18Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.12University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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11.54Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Gabriel Salk | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 15.7% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian White | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Evan Read | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Johannes Raatz | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 18.5% | 22.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| John McGlynn | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Justin Marks | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 20.1% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.