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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.44+2.36vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.28+1.20vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.03-0.27vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.57-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.67+0.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.95-1.72vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.97-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Monmouth University-0.4417.8%1st Place
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3.2Washington College-0.2819.9%1st Place
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2.73George Washington University0.0326.7%1st Place
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3.64Princeton University-0.5715.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Delaware-1.676.4%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.9510.2%1st Place
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5.66Rutgers University-1.974.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 17.8% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Tis | 19.9% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Eva Wieting | 26.7% | 24.9% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| William Roberts | 15.0% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Laura MacMillan | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 26.9% | 28.0% |
| Fordham Smith | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 12.3% |
| Ralph Molinari | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 21.3% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.