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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.57+2.26vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07-0.36vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.28+0.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.95-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.26+0.56vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.50-1.49vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.85-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Princeton University-0.5712.5%1st Place
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1.64George Washington University1.0757.0%1st Place
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3.03Washington College-0.2814.5%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.958.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Delaware-2.261.7%1st Place
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4.51Rutgers University-1.504.9%1st Place
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6.13Monmouth University-2.851.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Roberts | 12.5% | 20.2% | 24.6% | 21.4% | 14.9% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 57.0% | 27.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Tis | 14.5% | 23.7% | 26.6% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Fordham Smith | 8.1% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 12.8% | 3.4% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 35.0% | 29.8% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 27.0% | 21.8% | 8.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 21.4% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.