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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+3.62vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+3.81vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University2.71+3.88vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69+3.07vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+2.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.35+2.05vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-1.89vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29+0.28vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-4.71vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.55+0.60vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.93-4.57vs Predicted
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13Amherst College1.69-1.63vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.37-8.42vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.71-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.88Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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6.11Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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5.29Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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11.6Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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7.43Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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11.37Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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11.11University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 16.6% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| John McGlynn | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Ian White | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 30.6% |
| Gabriel Salk | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Johannes Raatz | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 23.2% |
| Evan Read | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Justin Marks | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.