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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+6.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.35+6.93vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37+2.60vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University2.71+3.81vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.93+2.22vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.71+5.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.50vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.00-1.03vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-3.01vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-5.31vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-5.66vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-3.36vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.29-3.39vs Predicted
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15Amherst College1.69-3.84vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.55-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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5.6Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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7.81Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.22Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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11.16University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.99Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.34Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.61Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.16Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.54Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Bove | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Ian White | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Evan Read | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John McGlynn | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Gabriel Salk | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Justin Marks | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 20.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 12.4% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
| Johannes Raatz | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 21.9% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.