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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+0.65vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.28+1.12vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.57+0.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.95-0.06vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.50-0.20vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.85+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.67-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65George Washington University1.0757.1%1st Place
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3.12Washington College-0.2814.4%1st Place
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3.48Princeton University-0.5710.5%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.957.6%1st Place
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4.8Rutgers University-1.503.7%1st Place
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6.23Monmouth University-2.852.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Delaware-1.674.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 57.1% | 26.9% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Tis | 14.4% | 24.1% | 23.5% | 19.3% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| William Roberts | 10.5% | 18.6% | 22.7% | 22.0% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Fordham Smith | 7.6% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 14.1% | 4.2% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 24.1% | 27.8% | 12.2% |
| Abigail Eck | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 16.2% | 65.5% |
| Laura MacMillan | 4.4% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 26.8% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.