Race 1A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Iain Shand 22.9% 21.9% 18.6% 14.3% 10.2% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophie Grigg 8.9% 11.7% 13.5% 15.2% 14.9% 13.7% 9.5% 6.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 6.2% 8.6% 9.6% 11.8% 14.6% 14.8% 13.8% 7.5%
Bryce Cogswell 30.5% 23.6% 17.6% 13.7% 8.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Stillman 12.3% 12.8% 14.2% 13.9% 14.1% 13.2% 9.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Brooke Lorson 8.8% 9.4% 10.8% 13.6% 13.8% 13.4% 11.5% 9.4% 5.7% 2.9% 0.8%
Addie Perez 3.5% 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 7.4% 11.1% 12.9% 15.7% 15.7% 10.9% 5.9%
Mac Fitzgerald 2.5% 4.1% 5.5% 5.7% 7.8% 9.6% 12.2% 13.8% 16.2% 14.8% 7.8%
Sophie DeCoite 3.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 7.4% 9.2% 13.4% 12.7% 16.4% 16.6% 8.0%
Alice Kilkelly 2.1% 1.8% 3.5% 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 8.8% 11.5% 14.2% 21.9% 21.5%
Ella Dieterlen 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 5.1% 7.8% 9.7% 16.9% 48.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.