Race 7B

wet-your-willie

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Cornew 16.8% 19.1% 16.5% 13.1% 12.3% 10.2% 5.9% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Braden Solum 15.2% 15.6% 17.6% 13.5% 13.9% 10.9% 5.7% 4.4% 1.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McMahon 30.3% 23.6% 16.3% 13.6% 7.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Natalie Sinn 8.2% 11.7% 12.1% 11.6% 13.7% 13.3% 12.4% 7.8% 5.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Bere 2.0% 1.8% 3.5% 3.7% 5.6% 7.6% 9.1% 10.4% 15.2% 15.7% 13.0% 8.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Phillip Morley 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 16.1% 14.2% 10.9% 11.9% 7.5% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Hughes 2.5% 2.3% 3.4% 5.1% 5.6% 7.0% 8.0% 9.9% 14.4% 17.4% 14.5% 7.2% 2.2% 0.5%
Rachel Barch 6.9% 6.8% 8.6% 8.5% 10.3% 12.5% 13.9% 12.3% 9.5% 6.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Werley 3.6% 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 8.0% 9.3% 11.5% 16.3% 13.8% 11.1% 8.9% 2.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Jenny Robinson 1.1% 0.6% 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 1.8% 3.0% 5.3% 7.9% 13.4% 18.6% 22.6% 13.8% 7.5%
Andrew Becker 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 3.5% 4.2% 7.2% 13.4% 23.3% 24.8% 16.6%
Paul Kaplan 2.1% 3.0% 4.6% 5.3% 5.0% 8.8% 12.2% 14.4% 15.2% 12.1% 9.5% 5.3% 1.6% 0.9%
Haley Johnson 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 2.6% 4.2% 6.2% 13.0% 24.2% 44.8%
Matthew Stephens 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 3.3% 5.3% 10.7% 15.8% 28.8% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.