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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.28+1.88vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07-0.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.95+0.78vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.57-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.26+0.44vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.85+0.01vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.97-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Washington College-0.2815.4%1st Place
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1.6George Washington University1.0758.8%1st Place
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3.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.957.8%1st Place
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3.2Princeton University-0.5712.2%1st Place
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5.44University of Delaware-2.262.0%1st Place
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6.01Monmouth University-2.851.1%1st Place
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5.1Rutgers University-1.972.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tis | 15.4% | 27.2% | 26.8% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 58.8% | 26.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fordham Smith | 7.8% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 27.0% | 20.1% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| William Roberts | 12.2% | 20.5% | 27.8% | 20.8% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Elise Singletary | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 31.1% | 27.4% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 23.4% | 51.1% |
| Ralph Molinari | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 25.4% | 28.1% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.