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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+3.61vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University2.71+5.76vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+2.19vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+2.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.66vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.37-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+1.31vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.35+0.07vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.69-1.91vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.93-3.86vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.29-2.42vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.55-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.71-3.86vs Predicted
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16Amherst College1.69-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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7.76Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.19Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.08Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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7.14Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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9.58Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.74Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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11.14University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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11.1Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| John McGlynn | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Evan Read | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Ian White | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Gabriel Salk | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 29.3% |
| Justin Marks | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 20.8% |
| Johannes Raatz | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.