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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+0.62vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.57+1.31vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.95+0.96vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.28-0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.67-0.30vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.85+0.14vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.97-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62George Washington University1.0758.2%1st Place
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3.31Princeton University-0.5711.9%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.957.6%1st Place
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3.04Washington College-0.2813.8%1st Place
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4.7University of Delaware-1.674.3%1st Place
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6.14Monmouth University-2.851.4%1st Place
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5.23Rutgers University-1.972.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 58.2% | 27.2% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 11.9% | 19.7% | 25.5% | 21.2% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Fordham Smith | 7.6% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 23.8% | 12.2% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Tis | 13.8% | 26.2% | 24.3% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Laura MacMillan | 4.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 23.8% | 24.9% | 12.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 59.5% |
| Ralph Molinari | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 33.1% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.