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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+6.86vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+5.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+2.98vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.37+1.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73-0.25vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52-0.77vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.00-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.35+1.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.51vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.55+1.65vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.29-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.71-1.57vs Predicted
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14Amherst College1.69-2.66vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-6.69vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University2.71-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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7.02Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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5.98Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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5.72Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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5.23Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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11.65Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.43University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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11.34Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.83Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Bove | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Gabriel Salk | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Evan Read | 11.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 16.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Ian White | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 26.9% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% |
| Justin Marks | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 22.0% |
| Johannes Raatz | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 22.9% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| John McGlynn | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.