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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+3.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+5.74vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+3.82vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.93+3.14vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+0.32vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University2.71+1.93vs Predicted
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7Amherst College1.69+4.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.35+1.13vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.71+2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-1.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.40vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-5.78vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.37-7.05vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.29-4.69vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.55-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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7.74Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.14Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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5.32Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.93Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.13Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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11.15University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.22Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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5.95Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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9.31Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.52Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 16.8% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Salk | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John McGlynn | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Johannes Raatz | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 23.4% |
| Ian White | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
| Justin Marks | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 21.1% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Evan Read | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.