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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College0.67+1.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.45+0.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.16-0.88vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College-0.53-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Boston College0.6731.3%1st Place
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2.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.4526.5%1st Place
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2.12Tufts University1.1633.8%1st Place
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3.31Bowdoin College-0.538.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aidan Cunningham | 31.3% | 31.2% | 24.6% | 12.8% |
Aiana Cayao | 26.5% | 26.3% | 29.5% | 17.8% |
Adam Larzelere | 33.8% | 31.5% | 23.9% | 10.8% |
Caleb Adams-Hull | 8.5% | 10.9% | 22.0% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.