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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.44vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+4.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+1.53vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.37+1.70vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69+3.07vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.71+5.19vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.93+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.35+1.15vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-3.03vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-1.61vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.52-6.62vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University2.71-4.81vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.55-2.26vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-5.71vs Predicted
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16Amherst College1.69-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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11.19University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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7.11Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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5.97Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.38Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.19Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.74Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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9.29Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.11Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 16.6% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Justin Marks | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 21.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Ian White | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 12.6% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| John McGlynn | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 30.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Johannes Raatz | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.