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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+3.59vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+3.06vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University2.71+4.82vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+3.97vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+4.41vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93+1.17vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.00-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.35+1.15vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.37-3.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.35vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.55+0.60vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.71-0.59vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-7.70vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-6.67vs Predicted
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16Amherst College1.69-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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5.06Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.82Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.41Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.17Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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5.6Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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11.6Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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11.41University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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6.3Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.11Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 15.7% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| John McGlynn | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Ian White | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.0% |
| Evan Read | 10.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 28.0% |
| Justin Marks | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 22.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Johannes Raatz | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.