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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.42+7.90vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.16+4.37vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+3.85vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.62+4.46vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+3.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+3.97vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.58+1.50vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.79-0.34vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-2.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-1.70vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.90-5.12vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.98-6.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.06vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.52vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.41-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Fordham University1.425.6%1st Place
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6.37University of Pennsylvania2.1610.4%1st Place
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6.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.168.8%1st Place
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8.46Fordham University1.625.9%1st Place
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8.21SUNY Maritime College1.885.6%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.222.8%1st Place
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8.5University of Pennsylvania1.585.9%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University1.796.8%1st Place
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6.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1310.7%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.556.5%1st Place
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7.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.5%1st Place
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6.88University of Pennsylvania1.908.3%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University1.988.2%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.6%1st Place
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11.48SUNY Maritime College0.722.9%1st Place
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12.7SUNY Maritime College0.411.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Will Murray | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Lars Osell | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 19.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.