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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+5.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+6.20vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+4.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+6.62vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42+4.00vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.84vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-2.00vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.23vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.58-3.36vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-4.46vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.34vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.88-6.79vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.72-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.9%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.556.2%1st Place
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7.56Cornell University1.797.8%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.0%1st Place
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9.0Fordham University1.425.2%1st Place
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6.3University of Pennsylvania2.1610.8%1st Place
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6.86University of Pennsylvania1.909.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.5%1st Place
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7.0Fordham University1.988.2%1st Place
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7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.8%1st Place
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6.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.168.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Pennsylvania1.585.3%1st Place
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8.54Fordham University1.625.1%1st Place
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12.66SUNY Maritime College0.411.6%1st Place
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8.21SUNY Maritime College1.885.7%1st Place
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11.44SUNY Maritime College0.722.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JJ Klempen | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
Jack Vanderhorst | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
Sophia Devling | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
Reed McAllister | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 13.0% |
Beckett Kumler | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
Jackson McAliley | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Javier Garcon | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Lars Osell | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
Jacob Zils | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
Will Murray | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Cole Woodworth | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
Patrick Dolan | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
Ben Hosford | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 35.9% |
Spencer Barnes | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
Brooks Turcotte | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.