Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Torrey Chisari 15.3% 14.3% 13.2% 12.1% 12.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.2% 3.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sofia Segalla 17.2% 14.3% 15.2% 12.8% 11.8% 9.2% 6.8% 5.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Adra Ivancich 9.7% 8.3% 8.6% 10.1% 10.2% 11.0% 9.2% 8.6% 8.3% 7.1% 5.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
J.J. Smith 15.7% 16.9% 13.8% 13.6% 10.8% 9.2% 5.8% 5.4% 4.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Annika VanderHorst 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 7.3% 8.3% 9.7% 11.9% 11.3% 11.6% 6.7% 1.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.0% 6.8% 8.0% 7.6% 7.2% 10.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.6% 9.2% 6.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Margaux Cowles 6.6% 8.1% 6.7% 7.2% 7.3% 8.4% 10.7% 9.9% 9.5% 10.2% 7.2% 4.8% 2.8% 0.7%
Madeleine Rice 7.4% 7.8% 8.8% 9.2% 10.7% 9.7% 10.7% 9.6% 8.8% 7.4% 5.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Brook Wood 4.2% 5.7% 4.9% 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 8.8% 9.9% 9.8% 11.3% 11.5% 9.0% 4.2% 0.9%
Lizzie Cochran 6.2% 6.0% 6.9% 6.5% 8.2% 8.8% 8.0% 8.7% 11.1% 9.8% 9.6% 6.1% 3.7% 0.5%
Rebecca Runyan 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 3.0% 3.5% 4.5% 5.2% 7.0% 7.1% 12.0% 17.7% 19.9% 9.8%
Samantha Hemans 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 2.9% 4.7% 5.2% 8.4% 13.2% 26.2% 26.6%
Bennett O'Keefe 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 2.6% 5.1% 9.2% 18.6% 53.4%
Katherine Mason 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 6.0% 6.5% 6.3% 9.8% 14.2% 16.2% 14.1% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.