← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.52+3.91vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.58+5.55vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.91+0.93vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.84+2.89vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.44+0.32vs Predicted
-
6Washington College2.71+1.31vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.43vs Predicted
-
9Wesleyan University1.49+1.73vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.59-2.41vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.78-3.85vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.51-1.30vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.94-6.17vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College1.35-2.83vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire0.76-2.71vs Predicted
-
16Amherst College-0.49-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.91Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
7.55Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
3.93Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
-
6.89Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.32Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
7.31Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
-
3.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
-
10.73Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
-
7.59Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
-
7.15University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
-
10.7Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
-
6.83Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
11.17Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
-
12.29University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
-
14.07Amherst College-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 13.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| William Bowman | 18.6% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 10.5% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 22.3% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Haley | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 4.5% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 5.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 6.1% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 30.5% | 15.3% |
| Alex Dion | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.