Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
J.J. Smith 17.2% 14.9% 13.5% 11.7% 11.9% 9.9% 8.5% 5.6% 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Madeleine Rice 8.2% 9.1% 9.3% 9.2% 9.7% 9.6% 9.1% 9.2% 10.1% 6.9% 4.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Sofia Segalla 17.0% 16.1% 14.1% 12.8% 9.2% 9.6% 7.6% 6.0% 3.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Annika VanderHorst 3.9% 4.3% 5.1% 6.0% 6.3% 6.2% 6.5% 8.5% 10.0% 10.9% 11.5% 11.7% 7.2% 2.0%
Lizzie Cochran 5.5% 6.2% 6.3% 7.0% 8.1% 7.6% 8.5% 8.5% 10.7% 10.2% 10.2% 7.0% 3.4% 0.6%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.1% 6.9% 7.7% 7.3% 8.0% 8.6% 10.5% 10.6% 8.9% 9.2% 7.2% 5.0% 2.6% 0.3%
Torrey Chisari 15.2% 14.4% 12.5% 12.8% 11.9% 9.8% 8.1% 5.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Rebecca Runyan 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 4.5% 5.6% 6.9% 8.8% 13.0% 14.9% 18.4% 11.8%
Margaux Cowles 6.0% 6.5% 8.5% 7.8% 7.3% 9.3% 9.0% 10.4% 9.0% 10.2% 7.4% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7%
Adra Ivancich 8.8% 10.1% 8.6% 9.2% 11.1% 9.7% 10.3% 8.8% 8.6% 6.6% 4.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Katherine Mason 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.4% 5.4% 6.7% 7.3% 10.4% 13.2% 16.9% 12.9% 5.7%
Samantha Hemans 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 3.7% 5.4% 9.8% 14.5% 26.2% 25.4%
Brook Wood 4.9% 4.6% 6.7% 6.7% 6.5% 7.8% 8.2% 9.3% 10.1% 10.8% 10.2% 8.3% 5.1% 1.0%
Bennett O'Keefe 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 8.8% 19.8% 52.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.