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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.35+7.29vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University2.37+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.21+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.91-1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.32+1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.88-1.16vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.65+3.32vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.81-0.74vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.17+2.55vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.60-2.12vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.77-5.94vs Predicted
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14University of Illinois-1.92-1.33vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame-1.62-3.86vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.29-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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3.64Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Minnesota2.210.2%1st Place
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2.77University of Wisconsin2.910.3%1st Place
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6.15University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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4.84University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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10.32Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
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11.55Northern Michigan University-1.170.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Minnesota1.770.1%1st Place
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12.67University of Illinois-1.920.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Notre Dame-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.43Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Bere | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Cornew | 16.8% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Solum | 15.9% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McMahon | 30.3% | 22.3% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Becker | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 24.3% | 23.8% | 17.6% |
| Paul Kaplan | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Sinn | 9.4% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Johnson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 13.9% | 23.4% | 46.2% |
| Matthew Stephens | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 17.8% | 26.9% | 30.6% |
| Sarah Hughes | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.