Race 2A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Iain Shand 23.8% 21.3% 18.5% 14.3% 11.1% 6.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.5% 4.4% 4.4% 7.1% 8.3% 10.5% 13.1% 13.8% 14.6% 12.8% 7.5%
Charlotte Stillman 11.4% 12.3% 14.4% 15.0% 13.9% 12.8% 9.2% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Brooke Lorson 8.7% 9.8% 12.3% 12.5% 13.0% 13.1% 11.9% 9.5% 6.2% 2.5% 0.5%
Bryce Cogswell 29.8% 23.9% 17.8% 13.8% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophie Grigg 10.8% 11.5% 11.8% 13.1% 14.3% 14.5% 10.5% 7.4% 4.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Mac Fitzgerald 3.2% 4.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.6% 9.5% 10.8% 15.1% 16.0% 13.7% 8.1%
Addie Perez 3.5% 5.1% 5.9% 6.7% 8.3% 9.8% 13.8% 15.3% 14.7% 11.5% 5.4%
Alice Kilkelly 1.8% 2.8% 3.5% 3.3% 5.2% 5.9% 8.7% 9.9% 14.1% 22.6% 22.3%
Sophie DeCoite 2.9% 3.0% 5.3% 5.7% 6.9% 9.0% 12.2% 14.3% 16.8% 14.9% 9.0%
Ella Dieterlen 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 2.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 6.7% 9.8% 19.6% 46.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.